Stram Formula: Super Bowl LX Prediction

Hank Stram Formula + 3 modified Strams for the 2026 Super Bowl.

Last year the Stram Super Bowl formula correctly predicted the Philadelphia Eagles win over the Kansas City Chiefs.

From my calculations last year, the Stram formula had: Eagles with 39.5 points and Chiefs with 30 points. The actual score was Eagles 40 vs. Chiefs 22.

The Stram formula was devised in a different era, so I don’t assume it generalizes well in the modern NFL of 2026… but it was eerily good last year.

Although I’m not fully convinced it’s legitimate, I’ve been using it for fun for the past decade or so before Super Bowls. I do not let it influence my own pick either.

I also question whether it has been more accurate over the long-term than just picking the Super Bowl favorite or flipping a coin.

Nobody has records on its long-term historical accuracy… predictive success rate for the Stram Super Bowl Formula remains unknown. And there are disagreements in its scoring rubric. Perhaps the specific formula I use is slightly different than variations used by others.

And while I could go back and manually “back-test” its predictive accuracy for ATS and SU (straight up) winner picks in Super Bowls… I’m not going to. This is too time consuming and I don’t trust an AI to: (1) fully complete this task (2) with perfectly accurate output. Maybe next year? WokeGPT-AOC? or Grok-6.9-420-Heavy?

I haven’t the foggiest idea where this formula originated. Assuming it is legitimate, I’m curious about the specific metrics and scoring that Stram or the individual attributing it to Stram used.

Moreover, it remains unclear as to whether this method was used primarily for ATS (against the spread) bets or straight up (SU) winner predictions; some rumors on the interweb suggest it was intended for ATS… but I cannot find evidence to corroborate that claim.

It’s also unclear as to whether the scores generated with this formula are: (A) intended approximate predictions of what the expected Super Bowl score is likely to be… or (B) more of a magnitude of confidence you should have in the predicted winner (i.e. the team with the higher Stram score)… or both.

Anyways, you can read my 2026 Super Bowl LX Prediction (no AI used) if you want a normal human analysis.

Who is Hank Stram?

Hank Stram is an American football coach best known for his 15-year tenure with the Dallas Texans / KC Chiefs of the American Football League (AFL) and National Football League (NFL).

1. Regular season record: 131-97-10 (.571)

2. Postseason: 5-3 (.625)

3. Pro Football HOF Coach

4. Super Bowl Champion (IV)

5. 2x AFL Coach of the Year

6. KC Chiefs HOF

7. 3x AFL Champion (‘62, ‘66, ‘69)

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Hank Stram Super Bowl prediction formula

There are many variations that circulate across the internet, but the most popular is a 17-category system.

Point values vary based on perceived importance of specific metrics.

For example: a recent Super Bowl win (within the last 3 seasons) is valued highest.